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Tuesday, January 24, 2006

Eternal Technologies (ETLT) E-Sea update

I just happened to catch this press release about 10 minutes after it came out.


The initial clinic is located in Shenzhen and has been open for two months. During this period, the Company netted approximately $68,000 (or over $400,000 on an annual basis). All of the fees for the Company's services are paid by local government agencies. The Company hopes to open four (4) to six (6) additional clinics during the current fiscal year which should produce an additional $2,000,000 -- $3,000,000 of revenue at very little cost.


With about 40 million shares outstanding, this would mean something along the lines of an additional 4 cents per share profit which we would expect to increase the value of the shares by about 60 cents while the shares are selling for less than 40 cents.

UPDATE Wed Jan 25, 2006: Looks like the market finally noticed. The price went up to 48 cents and fell back a bit.

Comments:
They seem to like issuing press releases of the "you really should buy our stock now" variety, when a couple of quarters of solid financial results would have a much larger effect.

I am not sure whether to feel emboldened or worried.
 
Bruce, are you sure that "netted" means profit in this case? I've found in the past that press releases translated from another language sometimes are very sloppy with respect to accounting terminology. It seems possible to me that the 68K/400K may be revenues. Jay
 
Jay,

I assumed they meant revenue. If they end up generating $2.5 million revenue from this new business and when they claim it's at "very little cost" which makes sense to me (that wouldn't be true of something in the steel industry or anything from YaSheng for example), then I'd assume perhaps $1.6 million would fall to the bottom line as net profit, which would be 4 cents per share. Put a P/E of 15 on that additional profit and the value of the stock goes up 60 cents while the stock itself only went up by 2 cents.

In other news, CXTI announced a new $35 million contract over 3 years. CXTI stock went up as much as 30% during the day (ending up 21.7%). I figure the contract added thirty something cents of value to the stock which is about how much the price went up by the end of the day.

Anon,

I believe this press release differs from cheerleading press releases because it discloses a significantly new source of revenue and it is 'material' in the sense that even this one operation adds enough to the top line that it could affect someone's investment decision.
 
Bruce, I loke your stuff. Feel free to open a group at EquityGroups.com, and share your commentary with our visitors. Also if you would please add a link to our site EquityGroups.com using the key words Stock Message Boards. Thanks, and we will return the link to you.
 
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